LSCMS & TetriXX AI: Singapore

Supply Chain Cost Pressure
Intelligence

Name: sirius Supply Chain Intelligence
Creator: TetriXX AI
License: https://sirius.tetrixx.ai/terms-of-service.html

sirius is a forward-looking barometer tracking where freight costs are building, before they reach your invoice. Built by TetriXX AI and shaped with the LSCMS supply chain community - this exchange is how sirius stays grounded in what procurement teams actually need.

Get sirius Pro → free until further notice

3330Market Signals

102,7130Data Pointsmonitored daily

140Live APIszero client data

76%0Prediction Accuracy1,412 resolved predictions

M12Forward Horizon5 scenario bands

Section 01 | Definition

What is sirius?

The Sirius index measures how much the inputs to your freight costs (fuel, capacity, surcharges, currency) have moved since January 2026. Not all of your freight bill moves with these inputs: only the variable portion (BAF, FSC, GRI, CAF, war risk), typically 30–52% depending on your modal mix. The rest is your contractually fixed base rate.

× What it is NOT

A full-cost multiplier

A sirius reading of 134 does not mean your freight bill is +34%. Your base rate is contractually fixed. Only the variable surcharges move with market inputs.

The Sirius index uses industry-benchmarked transmission coefficients to translate input pressure into the dollar impact on the variable portion of your spend.

✓ What it IS

A forward-looking cost pressure signal

The Sirius index measures where pressure is building: in fuel markets, at geopolitical chokepoints, in carrier capacity decisions, and in currency movements.

It gives you a 1 to 12 month forward window before the pressure reaches your invoice. Your modal mix (ocean/air/road) determines your exposure: ocean-heavy portfolios face 39–52% variable cost, road-heavy 30–38%.

Section 02 | Methodology

Weekly tracking across 10 global trade lanes

Published every Friday: with unscheduled updates triggered by a confirmed improvement or deterioration of ≥5% in any monitored lane. 260+ signals captured - AI cross-correlates across four pressure layers - clarity delivered to your team every Friday morning.

01 / Signal Layer

333 signals · 100,000+ data points

Fuel markets (Brent, VLSFO, jet fuel incl. IATA monitor), geopolitical chokepoints (Hormuz, Suez, Malacca), carrier capacity, and currency: via 14 live market data APIs across 50+ sources. Zero client data used.

Auditable to source

02 / Four Pressure Layers

Fuel · Capacity · Surcharges · FX

Weighted composite per trade lane and modality. The asymmetry law is mechanically embedded: carriers pass through increases faster than decreases. Your exposure is not symmetric: sirius reflects that.

Asymmetry-corrected

03 / Forward Scenarios

M1 to M12 horizon projection

Three scenario paths per trade lane: Base, Escalation, De-escalation. Calibrated against 5 historical crises: COVID, Red Sea, Hormuz, Ukraine, Ever Given. All readings versioned and auditable.

Confidence-labeled

On contracted rates: The Sirius index measures cost pressure on the spot freight market. For contracted rates, exposure depends on contract terms and pass-through clauses. When pressure spikes sharply, contract protections can erode: carriers may invoke force majeure, apply emergency surcharges, or roll shipments.

How to use sirius | 4 steps

From your flow to your action plan.

The Sirius index is built around the decisions you already make: where to ship, how much to budget, when to lock rates, when to switch modes. Four steps take you from a corridor you care about to a mitigation plan you can defend.

Step 01

Identify your flow and its sirius lane

Map your freight flow to one of the 10 sirius trade lanes: origin region, destination region, modality. Pick up the current composite reading, the week-over-week delta, and the dominant driver for that lane.

One corridor at a time

Step 02

Focus on the calculator

Plug your spend, modal mix, and contract type into the sirius calculator. It applies the same transmission coefficients used in the index to translate input pressure into the variable share of your actual bill.

Your numbers, our model

Step 03

Identify the potential impact

Read three forward paths for your corridor: base, escalation, de-escalation. See the dollar range you are exposed to over M1 to M12, with the invoice timing lag that applies to your modality and contract.

Range, not forecast

Step 04

Decide the best mitigation

For each lane, sirius suggests mitigation options: lock rates, hedge currency, switch mode, consolidate volume, hold for de-escalation. Weigh them against your service-level, contract, and working-capital constraints, then act.

You decide

The outcome

Evaluate · Engage · Discuss · Mitigate · Be ready = Resilience

One lens, one language, one action plan across Procurement, Supply Chain, Operations, and Finance.

For information only. The Sirius index and its calculator are provided to help you engage your stakeholders, discuss cost-pressure scenarios, model mitigation options, and revise your action plan. They do not constitute booking advice, trading guidance, or a guarantee of savings. All figures are illustrative until calibrated to your own spend and contracts.

Section 03 | The Reports

Two intelligence tiers. One decision framework.

sirius Pro delivers the weekly brief your logistics team acts on. sirius Pro+ brings the full C-suite narrative and connects directly into your analytics stack.

Pro 4 pages

sirius Weekly Brief

4-page action brief every Friday. All 10 trade lanes, cost calculator, and forward scenarios.

Inside the brief

Decision Dashboard Global pressure heat map across all 10 lanes. Top-line FCPI reading, week-on-week delta, and signal confidence.

Cost Impact Interactive cost calculator: enter your spend, lane mix, and contract type. Outputs M1/M2/M3 invoice pipeline and full-year exposure.

Action Board Prioritised recommendations by urgency and lane. The Wave: base, escalation, and de-escalation paths over 12 months.

Plans Forward outlook per lane. Pressure decomposition (fuel, capacity, surcharge, FX), modal split, and confidence band.

Best for Procurement leads and supply chain directors who need a weekly action brief for rate and routing decisions.

How to use it Browser-based HTML. Opens in any modern browser. Interactive panels recalculate in-browser. No install needed.

Pro+ 7 pages

Coming Soon

sirius Pro+ Brief

Everything in Pro, plus 3 executive persona lenses - CFO, COO, CPO - with P&L impact per role and API access.

What Pro+ adds (pages 4–7)

CFO Lens P&L impact, accrual risk, and cash flow exposure. Quarterly overrun projection mapped to your budget cycle.

COO Lens Operational continuity framing. Lane-level disruption risk and capacity constraint outlook for network planning.

CPO Lens Rate-locking windows and contract timing recommendations. Carrier negotiation signals by lane.

sirius API + MCP server REST endpoints for all 10 lanes. MCP server for direct integration with Claude, Copilot, or any analytics tool.

Best for C-suite and analytics teams who need role-specific P&L narratives and programmatic index access.

How to access Join the waitlist. 14-day free trial included at launch.

How to open and use the reports

Register once Submit the form on this page. You receive a confirmation and your first report link the following Friday.

Open in any browser Click the link in your Friday email. Free tier opens as a PDF. Pro opens as a single HTML file in Chrome, Safari, or Firefox. No install needed.

Use the interactive panels Navigate via the left sidebar. Enter your spend in the cost calculator. Toggle scenarios in The Wave section. All calculations run in-browser.

Share with your team Forward the HTML file or subscriber link directly. Each issue is archived in your portal for 12 months. Past editions remain fully interactive.

Pressure moved since the last official reading. View latest report ↓

Cost Exposure | Free Tool

What is your exposure at current pressure?

Enter your monthly freight spend and primary lane. See your dollar exposure at today's sirius reading in seconds.

Trade Lane

Primary Modality

Monthly Freight Spend

USD

⏳

Enter your spend to calculate

● Far East → Europe

Estimated monthly exposure

above Jan 2026 baseline

sirius

Regime

Variable cost exposed

Get weekly alerts when this changes →

Exposure = monthly spend × variable cost ratio × sirius excess above baseline (Jan 2026 = 100). Shows cost pressure context only: not procurement advice. Based on W29 readings (Jul 17, 2026).

W29 published: Jul 17, 2026

Download sirius Pro and Pro+ reports: Week 29

Week 29 covers the Middle East conflict re-escalation: ME_FE accelerating to 222.3 (+4.8% week-on-week) as the Strait of Hormuz effectively closes and bunker fuel surges, alongside peak-season surcharge pressure building into August. 333 signals across fuel, capacity, surcharges, and FX. All 10 trade lanes, 12-month projections, lane-level actions.

Both sirius tiers (Pro and Pro+) are available at no cost until further notice to support the logistics and procurement community. Register to receive the reports by email and get the next edition automatically every Friday.

What you receive

sirius Pro and Pro+ reports: Week 29 (HTML + PDF)

Heat map across all 10 monitored trade lanes

M1 / M3 / M6 / M9 / M12 forward projections per lane

Base / Escalation / De-escalation scenarios

5 prioritised recommendations per tier: 15 total

Interactive cost simulator with The Wave visualisation

Next Friday edition delivered automatically

Desktop recommended. The interactive calculator and routing toggles are optimised for desktop browsers. On mobile, save the file and open it in Chrome or Safari for the best experience.

Download Both Reports Free

No card. No commitment. Free until further notice.

Your data is stored securely. Used only to deliver sirius reports. Unsubscribe anytime. Privacy policy

⌛

Preparing your reports...

Generating secure download links.

✓

Your reports are ready

A copy has also been sent to your email.

How to open: Save the HTML file, then open it in your browser (Chrome, Safari, Edge). The interactive calculator works best on desktop. If opened inside a messaging app, the file may display as code.

Next edition: Friday, auto-delivered to your inbox.

✓

Check your inbox

The sirius Pro report has been sent to your email. Look for an email from TetriXX AI.

Not seeing it? Check spam or contact contact@tetrixx.sg

Next edition: Friday, auto-delivered to your inbox.

Section 03b | What sirius detects

What sirius detects: the asymmetry of a crisis

Disruptions build in days. Recovering takes months. And your invoice arrives after both.

Illustrative model. By the time M2 contracts reprice, the market event is already 8 weeks old. Full methodology →

When the shock reaches your invoices

Spot rates move first. Your annual contracts absorb last, and longest.

Your annual contracts absorb last, and longest. Understand the invoice lag model →

sirius draws the map.
Freya navigates it with you.

The Sirius index tells you where freight cost pressure is building. Freya tells you what it costs your company, on your carriers, on your routes: verified to invoice level.

sirius is the market signal. Freya is the financial translation. The gap between them is where your procurement leverage lives. TetriXX AI: sirius + Freya

sirius Pro - free during launch

Weekly brief every Friday. All 10 lanes. Heat map, top recommendations, 4 actionable pages.

sirius Pro+ (coming soon)

Full C-suite brief. 5 personas. API and MCP access for your analytics stack.

Freya: Contact us

Your carriers. Your routes. Your dollar exposure, verified to invoice level.

Supply Chain Cost PressureIntelligence

When one node moves,the world follows.